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From Scottie · July 31, 2026
See The Honest Broker in a Scottie brief
Scottie read The Honest Broker, Climate-Colored Goggles, and WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch for a reader with the priorities shown below. Start with the rundown, open the full brief, or check every issue behind it.
3sources
7issues read
3stories included
2 of 2 The Honest Broker issues included
What shaped this brief
Reader priorities
A policy analyst who wants climate scenarios, extreme-weather claims, and disaster trends checked against public data.
These are illustrative priorities, not a customer’s data.
Sources in this brief
- The Honest BrokerThe publication this guide is about
- Climate-Colored GogglesAdds evidence on interventions, public preferences, and climate-policy design.
- WeatherTiger's Hurricane WatchAdds event-specific hurricane forecasting and impact analysis.
Scottie
Scottie example brief
July 31, 2026 · Executive brief
01 / The rundown
- A new open-access climate dashboard tracks 32 US extreme weather indicators using IPCC methods to restore public access to deleted federal dataset records.
- Updated historical analysis shows El Niño increases global tropical cyclone energy by 29% while slashing median US hurricane damages sixfold compared to La Niña.
- Federal authorities are approving steep Colorado River water cutbacks for Lower Basin states as reservoir capacity at Lake Powell hovers near historic lows.
Read the complete brief 3 stories · 2 action items
02 / The briefing
01 / main
New extreme weather dashboard restores lost public climate data
The takeaway: Following the deletion of over 80 EPA climate pages in December 2025, a new public dashboard tracks 32 U.S. extreme weather variables across seven categories, grounding climate trends directly in official observational records and the IPCC framework.
Concrete details
- Tracks 32 variables across heat waves, tornadoes, flooding, drought, winter storms, wildfire, and hurricanes.
- Replaces federal climate indicators lost when at least 80 EPA webpages were taken offline in December 2025.
Why it matters for this reader: Directly supports your work auditing extreme-weather claims against public data by offering a downloadable reference built on official detection standards.
Original sourcesThe Honest Broker
02 / main
El Niño shifts cyclone energy globally but cuts US damages
The takeaway: Updated historical data reveals that while El Niño boosts global tropical cyclone energy by 29%, it dampens Atlantic storm activity. Median U.S. hurricane damage drops sixfold from $12 billion in La Niña years to $2 billion in El Niño years.
Concrete details
- Median U.S. hurricane losses hit $12 billion during La Niña versus $2 billion during El Niño.
- Years with major U.S. hurricane landfalls average $119 billion in global insured losses compared to $47 billion in non-landfall years.
Why it matters for this reader: Gives you the long-term empirical dataset required to stress-test disaster loss trends and climate risk models across ENSO cycles.
Original sourcesThe Honest Broker
03 / main
Interior Department backs Lower Basin Colorado River water cuts
The takeaway: Federal officials are accepting a Lower Basin proposal requiring California, Arizona, and Nevada to cut water use up to 31% through 2028. Supported by $350 million in federal conservation funding, the plan leaves Upper Basin cuts voluntary.
Concrete details
- California, Arizona, and Nevada face proposed water cuts of 12%, 31%, and 28% respectively.
- Lake Powell currently sits at 23% capacity while Lake Mead holds 27%.
Why it matters for this reader: Essential context for evaluating water policy scenarios and drought management frameworks in Western regional climate analysis.
Original sourcesClimate-Colored Goggles
Action items
- Download dataset indicators from the new extreme weather dashboard to audit current media claims against historical records.
- Cross-examine regional disaster loss models using updated ENSO normalized damage figures from recent hurricane season studies.
See every issue behind this brief
US Extreme Weather and Climate Change Dashboard
- 🚨US Extreme Weather and Climate Change DashboardThe Honest Broker · Included
Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls by El Niño Phase
- El Niño Means Fewer Atlantic Hurricanes — But More Activity WorldwideThe Honest Broker · Included
2026 hurricane season
- Down the Tubes: The Hurricane Watch for July 29thWeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch · Read, not included
2026 storm energy
- Mountain Time: The Hurricane Watch for July 27thWeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch · Read, not included
Tropical storm Bertha
- Into the Great Wide Open: The Hurricane Watch for July 24thWeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch · Read, not included
Lake Powell Analysis and Video Updates
- Video and analysis: Lake Powell's dying daysClimate-Colored Goggles · Included
Colorado River discussion
- Are Californians willing to pay for clean energy?Climate-Colored Goggles · Read, not included
About The Honest Broker
Should you add The Honest Broker to Scottie?
Test climate and extreme-weather claims against datasets, definitions, and stated uncertainty.[1][2][3]
Who it’s for
A policy analyst who wants climate scenarios, extreme-weather claims, and disaster trends checked against public data.[1][2]
What you’ll find in it
The issues linked below include “🚨RCP8.5 is Officially Dead”, “🚨US Extreme Weather and Climate Change Dashboard”, and “El Niño Means Fewer Atlantic Hurricanes — But More Activity Worldwide”. Open them to judge the publication in its own words.
- Byline
- Roger Pielke Jr.[1]
How to read The Honest Broker with Scottie
Add its public feed for publicly available issues. If you subscribe to paid issues, forward those emails to your private @scottie.fyi address. Scottie does not need access to your inbox.
Scottie read 2 The Honest Broker items and included 2 for the brief. The sources covered different things, so Scottie kept their stories separate instead of forcing a connection.
Read three issues from The Honest Broker
Read the publication in its own words. Scottie keeps these original links attached; it does not replace the writing.
- 🚨RCP8.5 is Officially DeadPublic issue[2]
- 🚨US Extreme Weather and Climate Change DashboardPublic issue[3]
- El Niño Means Fewer Atlantic Hurricanes — But More Activity WorldwideMon, 27 Jul 2026[4]